Jim Erwin
Sunday, November 4, 2018 - 12:30 p.m.
Now that I finally have some time to do some writing on politics, let’s get to it!
I prefer to render political observations after taking in data from a broad spectrum of sources and feedback. Two years ago it had become pretty clear to me in the final four weeks leading up to the presidential Election that Donald Trump would prevail.
It was enjoyable and satisfying collecting all the hundred-dollar wager’s from friends.
This time around I’m prepared to make a similar observation.
The GOP will increase it’s U.S. Senate majority to a range of 55 to 58 seats on Tuesday night.
In the U.S. House of Representatives the GOP will maintain control, but by a smaller margin.
There are many reasons as to why I’m convinced of this outcome. But the two central reasons being President Trump and the Democrat Party.
I have repeatedly said for years that Trump is a master marketer and messenger. That analysis hasn’t changed.
The President would appear to be ten moves ahead of everyone.
Trump has solidified and energized the GOP to return to the polls in a mid-term election cycle, when they weren’t expected to do so. Turnout numbers across the country are breaking records, and that turnout is also heavily republican.
The booming economy is a factor. But so is immigration.
Think about it! Two hot-button issues that play to the GOP.
To believe that suburban GOP women will turn against the party is also another major miscalculation.
Now to the Democrat Party madness.
I could pen a scroll trying to analyze what has happened to the democrats. But I have things to do this Sunday afternoon.
To sum it up. They, the left-wing faction of the Democrat Party, have lost their minds. The party is on the verge of becoming a minority party for decades.
The party is splintering before our very eyes into a hard-left socialist and a moderate voter blocks. The later, if this continues, will abandon the party as a group.
Moderate working-class democrats must be stunned, when they observe what their political party is morphing into. Even I’m stunned for that matter.
The open-borders, citizenship-for-all, medicare for all, higher taxes and other socialist-leaning positions is not, and will not, go-over with a majority of the country.
Expect a large block of democrat voters to vote GOP or not vote at all on Tuesday.
Hauling out Former President Barack Obama just reminds everyone of what a disaster his presidency really was, and how very little was accomplished during those eight wasted years. Furthermore, bringing out Hillary Clinton, with her talk of running again, is like spreading icing on a GOP victory cake.
Now to all those polls
Just like two years ago, they can’t help themselves. Skewing polling samples to heavy democrat is repeating itself again. Current turnout data, showing a heavy GOP turnout, indicates there’s a potential for another polling debacle.
Rather than canning all the polling guru’s, who screwed-up in 2016, the liberal establishment just doubled-down and embraced the same people making the same flawed predictions.
Combine the above with the insanity that has infected the Democrat Party and you have a recipe for continued GOP control of The U.S. Congress.
On Monday, we’ll start to see signs of extreme nervousness within the democrat establishment. Expect news networks CNN and MSNBC go into the early throws of an Election Night meltdown.
I could be wrong about the GOP House-control prediction. But I think we’re in for a surprise.
Program your DVR’s to record twelve hours of CNN and MSNBC election night coverage. It’ll be a spectacle to watch!

Good analysis. Iagree.
Obama soars above Red Donny the Bankrupt Pussy grabber
“Moderate working-class democrats must be stunned, when they observe what their political party is morphing into.” That’s pretty hilarious coming from a Republican Trump-lover.
Democrats have truly lost their minds. Obama was a disaster. His economic record was anemic at best. Manufacturing jobs left the country. Businesses cut hours to avoid Obamacare mandates. Taxes skyrocketed. Energy costs exploded due to Obama regulations. Now Trump has started reversing those massive failures and all we get from Democrats is that they “hate Trump.” That’s the only policy they have.
#4 The Republican dominated Congress enacted the laws that allowed their corporate buddies to obtain lower labor costs by shifting manufacturing to Asia. The Republicans served their corporate buddies well at the expense of the working class. The Republican dominated Congress loosened regulations on the financial institutions resulting in the collapse of Lehman Brothers…then we got the Great Recession. Obama inherited a disaster.
CONNECT The DOTS. If you want to believe it’s the black guys fault, then you too serve the Republican agenda.
We are in a mess in this country and Obama didn’t cause it.
Anonymous #5:
You seem to feel that Obama’s failures were due to things Republicans did prior to 2007, at least two years before he took office.
And now Obama is trying to take credit for things Republicans did that are occurring two years after he left office.
If the golden rule of politics is to take credit for positive things you had nothing to do with, and assign blame to others for things you did poorly, Obama is practicing it very well.
While he was in office, Obama clearly lied to the people when he said that if you liked your health care plan, you can keep it. How is that anybody’s fault but his?
And in suggesting that Republicans refer to Obama as the “black guy,” you went where Democrats go when all other logical arguments fail.
Enjoy the rest of the day; I foresee many Democrats seeking “Safe Spaces” tomorrow.
That’s your narrative
Well, it’s pretty clear that the writer’s biases informed his judgment. That’s what writing from the heart, or in this case, out of his ass, will get you
#6 ever hear of lagging indicators (finance 101)?
Gab #8:
I bet you liked Jim Acosta’s conduct today.
Anonymous #9:
Yes, I am familiar with the term “lagging indictor,” but don’t they typically lag behind by 6 to 9 months? Obama has been gone for nearly 2 years.
#10 I think they can be longer, unemployment for example. To say Obama did not help the economy after the disaster the banks and auto industry were in is partisan thinking. Maybe dust off the economics book where you learned about indicators. You don’t have to like him or his policies but give credit where it’s due. I think Trump has extended this business cycle by making the rich people and corporations really happy with his policies. I can give him credit for that though I don’t agree with him. That said I think people are way to overconfident in this economy. Household and corporate debt are at a high. This is the longest expansion of the business cycle in decades. Real estate is softening into a buyers market. I hate to break it to you all, but even Trump can’t end the business cycle. Hold onto your hats everyone! Things could get bumpy. To quote James Mills, you heard it here first lol….
“I could be wrong about the GOP House-control prediction.” Just to clarify, you weren’t even close.
Typical Republican blather. The only thing that matters is money, screw everything and everyone else as long as you make a profit.