April 23, 2016
In his quest to win the GOP presidential nomination and avoid a contested party convention this summer, Donald Trump is banking on California.
Several polls of likely Republican voters show Trump in a strong position to win a majority of the 172 delegates in the June 7 primary.
Two polls released this week — one from Fox News, the other from CBS News/YouGov — showed Trump at 49% and far outpacing his rivals, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
An average of four polls from the past month in California has Trump up 15 percentage points over his rivals.
Cruz and Kasich trail Trump so badly in the delegate count that neither has any real possibility of winning the 1,237 required to win the nomination outright.
Both instead are trying to keep Trump from locking up the nomination before the party meets in Philadelphia in July.
If Trump doesn’t win on the first ballot, many delegates will be free to shift to other candidates if they wish.
Trump is trying to make sure that doesn’t happen.
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