Monday, February 1, 2016 – 09:00 a.m.
The Iowa Caucus is finally here.
One would think it was the actual November presidential election with all the non-stop news coverage and droning-on by the political pundits and experts.
Everyone’s head must hurt by now. I can’t imagine what it must be like to live in the state. However after today the state returns to doormat status.
In the past two elections the choice of Iowans has went nowhere. We’ll see if this time is any different.
All of the recent Iowa polls across-the-board have Businessman Donald Trump in the lead for the GOP nomination. Some within the margin of error.
On the democrat side, Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a razor thin lead over Vermont U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders.
But Iowa has proven pollsters wrong in the past.
The Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Poll, the most accurate poll in past elections, has Trump and Clinton ahead. But its close.
The poll does show Trump with momentum.
The conventional thinking of pollsters is that if turnout is high Trump wins big. If turnout is normal or low then Texas U.S. Senator Ted Cruz is advantaged.
The Caucus opens at 5 p.m. pacific time. The results are suppose to be electronically-reported for the first time.