Rasmussen Reports

Monday, December 28, 2015

Presidential frontrunners Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump remain all tied up in a hypothetical matchup heading into 2016.

If the 2016 presidential election was held today, 37% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Clinton, while 36% would vote for Trump. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that a sizable 22% would choose some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

These findings are nearly identical to those measured in October when Trump picked up 38% support to Clinton’s 36%.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Democrats back Clinton, up five points from October. Trump draws support from 63% of Republicans, virtually unchanged from the previous survey. Unaffiliated voters prefer Trump 36% to 25%, but 29% of these voters like some other candidate. These findings also are similar to the October survey.

Clinton and Trump are currently seen as the likely nominees by large majorities of voters in their respective parties.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on December 22-23, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

The race between Clinton and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is closer than ever following the Democrats’ most recent debate, but Clinton is the heavy favorite among voters who are already certain of their vote in 2016.

Trump still holds the lead in our latest look at the race for the GOP presidential nomination following his party’s latest debate. Trump’s voters are by far the least likely to say they’re going to change their minds.

To read expanded report, click here.