Monday, November 3, 2014 – 09:30 p.m.
Election Day is here, and absentee voter turnout in the Inland Empire, and California as a whole, hasn’t improved whatsoever.
Depending on Election Day turnout, Raul Ruiz (D) could be ousted by State Assemblyman Brian Nestande (R) in CD-36. In CD-31, the battle between Pete Aguilar (D) and Paul Chabot (R) is a toss-up. But the numbers currently don’t favor Aguilar.
In CD-41, Congressman Mark Takano (D-Riverside) still stands the best chance for a reelection win, over Steve Adams (R-Riverside).
Independents will play a big roll in deciding Tuesday nights outcome. If Democrats are going to have any chance, the independent vote will have to play a roll here. If they break for GOP candidates, then it will be a significantly bad night for the Democrat Party.
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Permanent Absentee Ballot or Vote-By-Mail (VBM) return (As of 11/03) Source: Political Data Inc. . Category Party Total Reg Total VBM Returned VBM % VBM Voted % Voted . Statewide All 17,788,122 8,908,775 2,825,290 31.71% 15.88% . Party % Vote Rep 38% Dem 42% Oth 20% . San Bernardino County All 852,146 401,075 96,072 23.95% 11.27% . Party % Vote Rep 44% Dem 38% Oth 18% . Riverside County All 891,115 506,194 157,222 31.06% 17.64% . Party % Vote Rep 46% Dem 37% Oth 17%
. CD-31 All 308,655 145,360 32,863 22.61% 10.65% . Party % Vote Rep 41% Dem 42% Oth 17% . CD-36 All 282,146 181,504 74,043 39.15% 25.17% . Party % Vote Rep 43% Dem 39% Oth 18% . CD-41 All 270,841 142,996 31,800 22.24% 11.74% . Party % Vote Rep 40% Dem 44% Oth 16% . AD-40 All 209,749 101,058 24,102 23.85% 11.49% . Party % Vote Rep 45% Dem 38% Oth 17%
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