Monday, November 3, 2014 – 09:30 p.m.

Election Day is here, and absentee voter turnout in the Inland Empire, and California as a whole, hasn’t improved whatsoever.

Depending on Election Day turnout, Raul Ruiz (D) could be ousted by State Assemblyman Brian Nestande (R) in CD-36. In CD-31, the battle between Pete Aguilar (D) and Paul Chabot (R) is a toss-up. But the numbers currently don’t favor Aguilar.

In CD-41, Congressman Mark Takano (D-Riverside) still stands the best chance for a reelection win, over Steve Adams (R-Riverside).

Independents will play a big roll in deciding Tuesday nights outcome. If Democrats are going to have any chance, the independent vote will have to play a roll here. If they break for GOP candidates, then it will be a significantly bad night for the Democrat Party.

………….

Permanent Absentee Ballot or Vote-By-Mail (VBM) return (As of 11/03)
Source: Political Data Inc.
.
Category     Party  Total Reg   Total VBM   Returned VBM  % VBM Voted  % Voted
.
Statewide    All    17,788,122  8,908,775   2,825,290     31.71%        15.88%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    38%
                    Dem    42%
                    Oth    20%
.
San
Bernardino
County       All       852,146    401,075     96,072      23.95%        11.27%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    44%
                    Dem    38%
                    Oth    18%
.
Riverside
County       All       891,115    506,194    157,222      31.06%        17.64%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    46%
                    Dem    37%
                    Oth    17%

.
CD-31        All       308,655    145,360     32,863      22.61%        10.65%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    41%
                    Dem    42%
                    Oth    17%
.
CD-36        All       282,146    181,504     74,043      39.15%        25.17%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    43%
                    Dem    39%
                    Oth    18%
.
CD-41        All       270,841    142,996     31,800      22.24%        11.74%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    40%
                    Dem    44%
                    Oth    16%
.
AD-40        All       209,749    101,058     24,102      23.85%        11.49%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    45%
                    Dem    38%
                    Oth    17%