Note: This report will be next updated on Tuesday morning.
Saturday, November 1, 2014 – 12:01 a.m.
With just 4 days remaining until Election Day, absentee voter turnout in the Inland Empire, and California as a whole, remains pathetic.
The lack of any high profile contest to draw voters out, combined with a discouraged Democrat base, means the situation isn’t likely to change.
In CD-36, Congressman Raul Ruiz may very well be defeated by State Assemblyman Brian Nestande.
In CD-31, Pete Aguilar (D-Redlands), who is facing Paul Chabot (R-Rancho Cucamonga), may end up on the short end once again in his second bid for a seat in the U.S. Congress. Like we’ve said here many times. Aguilar is far from a stellar campaigner. He gives the appearance of someone who wants the seat handed to him on a silver platter.
In CD-41, Mark Takano isn’t in as bad a shape as others. But he remains exposed to a potential upset by woefully-underfunded Councilman Steve Adams (R-Riverside).
All the candidates in these contests have to pray that independent and decline-to-state voters come to their rescue.
On another note: In the 40th State Assembly District, Marc Steinorth (R-Rancho Cucamonga) appears to be headed for an easy victory, even though Democrats made a late entry to help their candidate Kathleen Henry. Steinorth has been flooding mailboxes at a feverish pitch for weeks now. That effort is about to pay off.
Permanent Absentee Ballot or Vote-By-Mail (VBM) return (As of 10/31) Source: Political Data Inc. . Category Party Total Reg Total VBM Returned VBM % VBM Voted % Voted . Statewide All 17,788,122 8,903,136 2,447,429 27.49% 13.76% . Party % Vote Rep 38% Dem 42% Oth 20% . San Bernardino County All 852,146 400,932 89,143 22.23% 10.46% . Party % Vote Rep 44% Dem 38% Oth 18% . Riverside County All 891,115 505,365 137,995 27.31% 15.49% . Party % Vote Rep 46% Dem 37% Oth 17%
. CD-31 All 308,655 145,303 30,381 20.91% 9.84% . Party % Vote Rep 41% Dem 42% Oth 17% . CD-36 All 282,146 181,261 66,899 36.91% 23.71% . Party % Vote Rep 43% Dem 39% Oth 18% . CD-41 All 270,841 142,610 26,767 18.77% 9.88% . Party % Vote Rep 40% Dem 44% Oth 16% . AD-40 All 209,749 101,017 22,217 21.99% 10.59% . Party % Vote Rep 45% Dem 38% Oth 17%