Elections 2014

Note: This report will be next updated on Tuesday morning.

Saturday, November 1, 2014 – 12:01 a.m.

With just 4 days remaining until Election Day, absentee voter turnout in the Inland Empire, and California as a whole, remains pathetic.

The lack of any high profile contest to draw voters out, combined with a discouraged Democrat base, means the situation isn’t likely to change.

In CD-36, Congressman Raul Ruiz may very well be defeated by State Assemblyman Brian Nestande.

In CD-31, Pete Aguilar (D-Redlands), who is facing Paul Chabot (R-Rancho Cucamonga), may end up on the short end once again in his second bid for a seat in the U.S. Congress. Like we’ve said here many times. Aguilar is far from a stellar campaigner. He gives the appearance of someone who wants the seat handed to him on a silver platter.

In CD-41, Mark Takano isn’t in as bad a shape as others. But he remains exposed to a potential upset by woefully-underfunded Councilman Steve Adams (R-Riverside).

All the candidates in these contests have to pray that independent and decline-to-state voters come to their rescue.

On another note: In the 40th State Assembly District, Marc Steinorth (R-Rancho Cucamonga) appears to be headed for an easy victory, even though Democrats made a late entry to help their candidate Kathleen Henry. Steinorth has been flooding mailboxes at a feverish pitch for weeks now. That effort is about to pay off.

………….

Permanent Absentee Ballot or Vote-By-Mail (VBM) return (As of 10/31)
Source: Political Data Inc.
.
Category     Party  Total Reg   Total VBM   Returned VBM  % VBM Voted  % Voted
.
Statewide    All    17,788,122  8,903,136   2,447,429     27.49%        13.76%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    38%
                    Dem    42%
                    Oth    20%
.
San
Bernardino
County       All       852,146    400,932     89,143      22.23%        10.46%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    44%
                    Dem    38%
                    Oth    18%
.
Riverside
County       All       891,115    505,365    137,995      27.31%        15.49%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    46%
                    Dem    37%
                    Oth    17%
.
CD-31        All       308,655    145,303     30,381      20.91%         9.84%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    41%
                    Dem    42%
                    Oth    17%
.
CD-36        All       282,146    181,261     66,899      36.91%        23.71%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    43%
                    Dem    39%
                    Oth    18%
.
CD-41        All       270,841    142,610     26,767      18.77%         9.88%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    40%
                    Dem    44%
                    Oth    16%
.
AD-40        All       209,749    101,017     22,217      21.99%        10.59%
.
                    Party  % Vote
                    Rep    45%
                    Dem    38%
                    Oth    17%