Friday, October 31, 2014 – 09:35 a.m.
New data indicates turnout in the Inland Empire is dismal this year.
The poor turnout, particularly from Democrats, could have a major impact on area Congressional contests.
The only race driving any form of voter response remains the 36th Congressional Congressional District, where Rep. Raul Ruiz (D) is fending off a challenge from State Assemblyman Brian Nestande.
The Ruiz-Nestande race, along with that of Aguilar-Chabot in the 31st Congressional District, has democrats rightfully nervous. The numbers are proving they have reason to be.
Vice President Joe Biden is visiting the Inland Empire on Saturday, in an effort to prop up the campaign of Pete Aguilar (D-Redlands), who is running in the open 31st Congressional District against Paul Chabot (R-Rancho Cucamonga). Sources tell InlandPolitics the Aguilar camp is feeling pretty sttressed these days, and rightfully so.
Aguilar could easily lose again.
In CD-36, Congressman Raul Ruiz (D), would appear to be in jeopardy, with Republican absentee turnout three percent higher.
Here’s the latest update on mail ballot voting as of Thursday night.
………….
Permanent Absentee Ballot or Vote-By-Mail (VBM) return (As of 10/30) Source: Political Data Inc. . Category Party Total Reg Total VBM Returned VBM % VBM Voted % Voted . Statewide All 17,787,111 8,854,590 2,196,731 24.81% 12.35% . Party % Vote Rep 38% Dem 42% Oth 20% . San Bernardino County All 852,146 400,557 78,390 19.57% 9.20% . Party % Vote Rep 44% Dem 38% Oth 18% . Riverside County All 891,115 503,704 125,887 24.99% 14.13% . Party % Vote Rep 46% Dem 37% Oth 17%
. CD-31 All 308,655 145,160 26,960 18.57% 8.73% . Party % Vote Rep 41% Dem 42% Oth 17% . CD-36 All 282,146 180,638 61,624 34.11% 21.84% . Party % Vote Rep 43% Dem 40% Oth 17% . CD-41 All 270,841 142,040 24,168 17.01% 8.92% . Party % Vote Rep 40% Dem 44% Oth 16% . AD-40 All 209,749 100,930 19,832 19.65% 9.46% . Party % Vote Rep 45% Dem 38% Oth 17%
The wheels are coming off for both parties, GOP has no money to help in local congressional race.
Hispanic voters largely affiliate with Democratic party only because GOP cannot shake image shackles of “Southern Strategy.” Romney affirmed death spiral with his silly pandering.
The Latino voters who reliably vote are older not fixated on immigration in same way as LA Latino-SEIU Junta.
Younger eligible voters don’t see any advantage to voting.
Democrats are in for a shock because Hispanic voters will largely sit out this election.
Their message to Democratic Party? See what happens when you “fiddle” around.
Not loose
LOSE
Loose change
Lose elections
Today a bunch of professionally made signs went up that say “stand with Obama vote for Dr. Raul ruiz”. Question is did the ruiz campaign put these up or the opposition.
And then there’s this.
Field Brown +21
CBS News Brown +18
PPIC Brown +16
LA Times Brown +21
Holy Moly!
Even Republican birds are voting for Brown.
Thank God we have Brown to protect us from Conservatives.