Campaigns

By Greg Cappis, Redlands Daily Facts
Posted: 10/21/13, 7:40 PM PDT |

The opponent — who has not been determined — holds an advantage over Rep. Gary Miller, R-Rancho Cucamonga, in next year’s election, according to Washington forecasters.

“I think Miller should be considered the underdog in the race at this point,” said Nathan Gonzales, deputy editor of The Rothenberg Report.

On Thursday The Cook Political Report changed its 31st District rating from a toss-up to leans Democratic. The alteration aligned Cook with The Rothenberg Report, which rated the district stretching from Upland to Redlands as leaning Democratic on June 14.

It is the only House race where the challenging party is favored by both nonpartisan ratings services.

“We don’t know which Democrat is going to emerge next June,” said David Wasserman, House Editor at Cook. “Whether it’s (Joe) Baca, (Pete) Aguilar or (Eloise) Gomez Reyes, any of them would have to be considered a serious threat, particularly Aguilar.”

Danny Tillman is also running as a Democrat, but has remained relatively quiet thus far.

The four Democrats and Miller will appear on the same ballot during the June 2014 primary, and potentially more could join the race. Under California’s jungle primary system, the top-two vote getters, regardless of party affiliation advance to the November election.

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