By Canan Tasci, Inland Valley Daily Bulletin
Posted: 09/21/13, 6:08 PM PDT |

Independent Paul Leon and Democrat Freddie Rodriguez have their eyes on representing the 52nd Assembly District but only one can win the job.

Voters on Tuesday will be asked to choose between Leon, the Ontario mayor, and Rodriguez, a Pomona councilman, to serve the district that includes Montclair, Ontario, Chino and portions of Fontana and Pomona.

“On paper. Rodriguez, the Democrat, should win, but he’s running against a candidate who is well known in Ontario as the mayor and represents a greater area,” said Los Angeles-based analyst Allan Hoffenblum, a former GOP campaign consultant.

“But I think that the Democrat should win. And he should win comfortably, but with a low voter turnout and with the non-Democratic candidate — one who has a significantly higher name identification than his opponent — anything could happen.”

Hoffenblum predicts Tuesday’s special election race will have a low turnout, about 10 percent or less of voters casting a ballot.

The special election was called to fill the seat left vacant when Norma Torres, D-Montclair, was elected to represent the 32nd state Senate District in May.

The winner of Tuesday’s vote will finish Torres’ Assembly term.

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