Tuesday, September 17, 2013 – 10:15 a.m.

Next Tuesday’s runoff election, between Freddie Rodriguez (D-Pomona) and Paul Leon (NPP-Ontario), to represent the currently vacant 52nd Assembly District, is fairly easy to predict at this point.

The numbers say it all.

In the primary, a wide field of Democrat candidates pulled 60.6% of votes cast. Leon, running as a quasi-independent, no party preference candidate, and Republican Dorothy Pineda, pulled a combined 39.4%.

The reason for the lopsided result?

The district has 47.49% Democrat registration, 26.73% Republican, with the remaining 19.58% designating no party preference.

They don’t come any more slanted than this!

Combine the above registration advantage with the following fundraising totals, and Rodriguez is on a glide-path to a win.

Through 9/7/2013, Leon has raised $133,642.85, with $5,371.63 cash on hand.

Rodriguez, not surprisingly, has raised $417,354.85, with $3,151.84, cash on hand.

A margin of more than 3-to-1 over Leon.

It’ll be interesting to see how another low voter participation election plays out.