On politics in the Golden State
September 19, 2012 | 9:00 pm

Roughly half of California’s likely voters support Gov. Jerry Brown’s tax initiative, according to a new poll, making its success a tossup less than two months before the election.

The poll, released Wednesday night by the Public Policy Institute of California, said 52% supported the measure, putting passage within the 4.4% margin of error. An additional 40% said they were against the initiative, and 8% said they didn’t know how they would vote.

Brown’s tax initiative, Proposition 30, would increase the sales tax by a quarter-cent and raise income taxes by 1 to 3 percentage points for residents earning more than $250,000. If the taxes don’t pass, Brown says, there will be almost $6 billion in budget cuts, mostly to public education.

Another tax proposal, Proposition 38, had less support than Brown’s. The poll said 45% of likely voters favored the initiative and 45% opposed it.

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