Tuesday, June 5, 2012 – 01:30 p.m.

Absentee ballot and early voting breakdown could be going County Supervisor Neil Derry’s way this week.

As expected, voter turnout is depressed.

Party affiliation breakdown of the ballots cast so far could be a bad sign for Former San Manuel Band of Mission Indians Chairman and Supervisorial Candidate James Ramos, who has spent more than $1.1 million attempting to unseat Derry.

And he has spent hundreds of thousands of those dollars trying to erode Derry’s republican base.

Tonight we shall see if his strategy worked.

We’ll also know if Ramos was able to hold onto conservative and moderate democrats.

Here’s the breakdown of absentee and early voting demographics as of Monday night:

 

PARTY         BALLOTS
AFFILIATION   RETURNED        PERCENT
ADS               94           0.40%
AI               687           2.95%
DDS              282           1.21%
CNP                1           0.00%
DEM            8,205          35.18%
DS             2,538          10.88%
GRN               70           0.30%
LIB              104           0.45%
OTH                1           0.00%
PF                29           0.12%
REP           11,315          48.51%
.
TOTAL         23,326         100.00%
TOTAL REGISTRATION:           183012
VOTE BY MAIL REGISTRATION:     79152
PERCENT OF VOTE CAST AS OF 06/04/12: 12.75%
PERCENT OF VBM CAST AS OF 06/04/12:  29.47%
SOURCE: SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY REGISTRAR OF VOTERS