On politics in the Golden State
May 30, 2012 | 3:28 pm

Facebook’s stock has nosedived since the social media giant debuted on Wall Street earlier this month, and that’s bad news for California’s budget.

Gov. Jerry Brown was counting on about $1.5 billion in income taxes related to the company’s IPO to help patch the state’s swelling $15.7-billion deficit. But if the stock price remains low, a haul that big becomes unlikely.

The Brown administration pegged the stock at $35 per share — lower than its $38 starting point but significantly higher than the $28.19 per share at the close of trading on Wednesday.

Jason Sisney at the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office, which provides budget advice to lawmakers, said tax revenue from Facebook “could be hundreds of millions of dollars less than has been projected.”

Of course, that assumes the stock price stays at its current level. And even if it does, Sisney said, there are other ways for the state to make up the difference. For example, the sale of Facebook stock would increase a California resident’s tax bill.

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