State Senator Bob Dutton

Thursday, April 19, 2012 – 10:00 a.m.

Should State Senator Bob Dutton abandon his congressional campaign and support Congressman Gary Miller?

The obvious answer is yes.

Many people are hoping it will happen, but in all honesty it won’t.

Dutton, a candidate in the 31st Congressional District, is essentially in a race with Miller (R-Diamond Bar) and Mayor Pete Aguilar (D-Redlands).

Aguilar has enough baggage to fill a bus should he make a November runoff.

Dutton, on the other hand, has good record in his state service. Even though he was handicapped by being in the minority party for the duration.

Miller’s strong financial resources were already a known factor in this race.

However, Miller’s backing by the California Republican Party and National Republican Congressional Committee took Dutton by surprise.

But it should not have.

Attacking Miller, and the GOP organizations endorsing him, wasn’t a smart idea.

Miller has significant seniority in the U.S. House of Representatives, and seniority is something not to be easily discarded.

With seniority, committee assignments come into play. Duh!

This factor alone makes him a stronger bet for the Inland Empire.

So logic dictates that Miller receives support.

Dutton could have went back to the Assembly to serve his unused term, or kept his powder dry to mount a campaign for county supervisor in 2014.

The later move is one that is still very viable and would likely garner strong support.

Dutton, with his financial constraints to raising campaign cash, is relying heavily on his name identification with West Valley voters.

It’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.